Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.202450 0.235792 0.272313 0.315203 0.364110 0.418054 0.481970
2026-01-18 0.148203 0.193839 0.249105 0.320563 0.410066 0.517983 0.657423
2026-01-25 0.116008 0.165764 0.230763 0.321016 0.442061 0.597620 0.811283
2026-02-01 0.093286 0.143679 0.213836 0.317184 0.463760 0.662080 0.948086
2026-02-08 0.076507 0.126012 0.198940 0.312086 0.480528 0.718720 1.076760
2026-02-15 0.062173 0.109073 0.181905 0.300445 0.484913 0.756409 1.179984
2026-02-22 0.056752 0.105038 0.183429 0.316226 0.530597 0.856629 1.380954
2026-03-01 0.047719 0.093369 0.170957 0.307881 0.537292 0.897917 1.495742
2026-03-08 0.039943 0.082512 0.158156 0.297004 0.538043 0.928988 1.595850
2026-03-15 0.034181 0.074344 0.148771 0.290513 0.544819 0.969364 1.712760
2026-03-22 0.030904 0.070404 0.146400 0.295938 0.572137 1.045030 1.892199
2026-03-29 0.028871 0.068628 0.147781 0.308213 0.612382 1.145086 2.119015
2026-04-05 0.026354 0.065519 0.146342 0.315296 0.644419 1.234429 2.335887
2026-04-12 0.023684 0.061641 0.142880 0.318076 0.668761 1.312224 2.538641
2026-04-19 0.021135 0.057575 0.138437 0.318254 0.687886 1.381652 2.730784
2026-04-26 0.018603 0.053082 0.132440 0.314424 0.698562 1.435942 2.898641
2026-05-03 0.016321 0.048781 0.126245 0.309363 0.706076 1.484470 3.058597
2026-05-10 0.013933 0.043729 0.117593 0.297813 0.698909 1.503889 3.164330
2026-05-17 0.013437 0.043710 0.120863 0.313469 0.750526 1.641997 3.507034
2026-05-24 0.011686 0.039822 0.114135 0.305190 0.749596 1.674921 3.645785
2026-05-31 0.010044 0.035903 0.106745 0.294400 0.741960 1.693358 3.756470
2026-06-07 0.008807 0.032948 0.101417 0.287960 0.743418 1.730478 3.906912
2026-06-14 0.008185 0.031822 0.100838 0.293342 0.772594 1.827944 4.187174